FixBeatGames wrote:can i make a prediction too?
if the next ps/xbox releases when this article predicts, they'll both sell low and the whole games industry will collapse like it did last time there were too many consoles to choose from.
i predict it will be at least 2014 when microsoft/sony announce the next gen consoles.
i reckon sony might even try and make an add-on for ps3 instead, would make so much more sense to do a sega mega-cd type thing, only this one adding a new cpu and lots of ram. a ps3 with a new cpu and say 8gb ram, would absolutely kick ass. i would MUCH rather spend £200 on a box that plugs into the ps3 to improve it, rather than £500 on a whole new console.
There hasn't been a Mega-CD / 32X type "power" add-on for ages... they all failed. The Kinect is the only relatively successful hardware add-on ever, and even that could be classified as a new controller rather than an add-on boosting the technical capability of the base unit. The PS3 would need an upgrade in every department (CPU, GPU, Ram, HDD, BD...),
so a new console is needed.
If the PS360 keep going alongside the newcomers, they may do so in a "limited" role as budget-price media boxes that still occasionally see new game releases, mostly in downloadable form. Then there would be 3 main consoles and 2 older budget consoles still on the shelves. I think thanks to their network and media playing/streaming capabilities, the PS360 have an equal or even better chance at keeping going like the PS2 did after the launch of the next generation.
5 consoles sounds a lot and it would be preferable for the number to be smaller. It's still nothing like the early '90s though, when you had the SNES, Mega Drive, PC Engine, Jaguar, 3DO, CDi, Neo Geo, Amiga CD32 and the older generation of NES and Master System still on the market, plus various handhelds, hardware add-ons and the gaming-focused 16-bit computers.
Some of the weaker consoles made an exit, but overall the market was doing well and expanding. Hopefully next-gen consoles will again be able to expand the market. The PS360 and Wii combined sales set a new industry record, so topping that won't be easy, but fingers crossed